Sport Picks
Villacarrillo vs Union Estepona CF Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 game between Villacarrillo and Union Estepona CF finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villacarrillo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villacarrillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Villacarrillo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Villacarrillo's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Villacarrillo Clean Sheet 16%
Union Estepona CF Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villacarrillo | Union Estepona CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 19 | 27 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 0.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Union Estepona CF
2:0
Oct 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Villacarrillo
2:2
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Union Estepona CF
1:0
Sep 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Villacarrillo
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villacarrillo 48 / 100
Union Estepona CF 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villacarrillo Union Estepona CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villacarrillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Estepona CF let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
Union Estepona CF lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Villacarrillo found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Villacarrillo VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Villacarrillo
(Home) 13 May
Villacarrillo
6 : 3 Guadix
06 May
Velez
4 : 0 Villacarrillo
29 Apr
Villacarrillo
0 : 3 Linares
22 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0 Villacarrillo
15 Apr
Villacarrillo
2 : 3 Loja
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13 May
Villacarrillo
6 : 3 Guadix
29 Apr
Villacarrillo
0 : 3 Linares
15 Apr
Villacarrillo
2 : 3 Loja
29 Mar
Villacarrillo
1 : 3 Antequera
17 Mar
Villacarrillo
4 : 0 Melistar
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Union Estepona CF
(Away) 11 May
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2 Melilla B
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
27 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2 Huetor Tajar
06 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2 Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
30 Mar
Malaga B
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
16 Mar
Espanol Alquian
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
02 Mar
Villacarrillo
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Palo | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 72:36 | 74 |
| 2 | Mancha | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 50:27 | 72 |
| 3 | Granada CF B | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 73:35 | 72 |
| 4 | Malaga B | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71:27 | 71 |
| 5 | Linares | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:30 | 70 |
| 6 | Villacarrillo | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 66:41 | 65 |
| 7 | Martos | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52:45 | 64 |
| 8 | Velez | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 51:47 | 56 |
| 9 | Atarfe Industrial | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 58:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Maracena | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:49 | 51 |
| 11 | Marbella | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 52:53 | 49 |
| 12 | Melilla B | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 43:44 | 48 |
| 13 | UD San Pedro | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 50:45 | 47 |
| 14 | CD Ronda | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 53:56 | 45 |
| 15 | Union Estepona CF | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45:55 | 45 |
| 16 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:67 | 41 |
| 17 | AD Huercal | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33:73 | 31 |
| 18 | Torremolinos | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 32:67 | 30 |
| 19 | Alhaurin | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 30:80 | 23 |
| 20 | Comarca | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 26:75 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
