Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villalonga vs Estradense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Abalo H.
89' Event
Blanco Farina M.
90' Event
Fuentes D.

AI Match Summary

Villalonga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Villalonga
20%
Draws
50%
Estradense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estradense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Estradense have won more games recently than Villalonga.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Villalonga Clean Sheet 19%
Estradense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villalonga Estradense
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Estradense
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Villalonga
1:0
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Villalonga
2:2
Dec 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Estradense
0:1
Jan 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Estradense
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Abalo H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco Farina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villalonga 36 / 100
Estradense 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villalonga Estradense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estradense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estradense let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Villalonga's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Villalonga stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Estradense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villalonga

(Home)
16 Aug
Villalonga
0 : 2
Pontevedra
26 Jul
Villalonga
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
11 May
Villalonga
2 : 1
Estradense
04 May
Gran Pena
3 : 1
Villalonga
01 May
Villalonga
0 : 3
Betanzos CF
Page 1 of 6

Estradense

(Away)
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5
Pontevedra
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ourense 34 21 11 2 54:20 74
2 Estradense 34 18 6 10 52:37 60
3 Sarriana 34 18 5 11 66:48 59
4 Racing Club Villalbes 34 16 10 8 40:28 58
5 Noia 34 14 13 7 42:31 55
6 Arosa SC 34 15 10 9 58:46 55
7 Alondras 34 14 10 10 44:40 52
8 Lugo B 34 12 9 13 43:45 45
9 CD Boiro 34 11 11 12 40:39 44
10 Somozas 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
11 Gran Pena 34 9 13 12 44:51 40
12 Viveiro 34 11 6 17 47:52 39
13 Silva SD 34 9 12 13 40:48 39
14 Atletico Arteixo 34 9 11 14 40:42 38
15 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 7 17 29:45 37
16 Valladares 34 8 13 13 33:52 37
17 Villalonga 34 10 6 18 32:51 36
18 Betanzos CF 34 6 7 21 29:51 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)