Sport Picks
Villanovense vs AD Llerenense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
Match Events
9'
9'
Caicedo J.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
AD Llerenense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Llerenense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Llerenense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Villanovense have won more games recently than AD Llerenense.
- 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 25%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villanovense | AD Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs AD Llerenense
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs Villanovense
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs AD Llerenense
1:0
Feb 11, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Villanovense vs AD Llerenense
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
AD Llerenense vs Villanovense
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villanovense 37 / 100
AD Llerenense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villanovense AD Llerenense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Llerenense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villanovense scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
AD Llerenense has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.
Villanovense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Villanovense VS AD Llerenense
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Villanovense
(Home) 04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1 Villanovense
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0 Montijo
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0 Montijo
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
29 Jul
Villanovense
0 : 2 Cacereno
10 May
Villanovense
0 : 1 Jaraiz
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0 Jerez CF
Page 1 of 3
AD Llerenense
(Away) 27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0 AD Llerenense
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0 AD Llerenense
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1 AD Llerenense
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2 AD Llerenense
03 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0 AD Llerenense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 10 | SP Villafranca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cabeza del Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 15 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 17 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)
