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Villanovense vs CD Azuaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villanovense host CD Azuaga in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. Little to choose between these two on current form. Villanovense have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against CD Azuaga's 1.65 scored and 0.74 conceded. Head-to-head, Villanovense have won 2 to CD Azuaga's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.19) point toward CD Azuaga. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Villanovense
15%
Draws
58%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Azuaga come out ahead of Villanovense on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Azuaga a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 20%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanovense CD Azuaga
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs CD Azuaga
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Villanovense
0:0
Aug 14, 2025 Club Friendly
CD Azuaga vs Villanovense
1:0
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Villanovense
0:2
Sep 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs CD Azuaga
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanovense 10 / 100
CD Azuaga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanovense CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villanovense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Villanovense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: CD Azuaga conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Villanovense VS CD Azuaga
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villanovense

(Home)
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1
Villanovense
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1
Villanovense
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
Page 1 of 6

CD Azuaga

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Azuaga
4 : 0
Guadiana
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
11 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
12 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
15 SP Villafranca 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)