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Villanovense vs Jerez CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villanovense host Jerez CF in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Villanovense have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Jerez CF's 1.59 scored and 1.62 conceded. Past meetings favor Jerez CF slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.00) point toward Villanovense. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Villanovense
20%
Draws
40%
Jerez CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Villanovense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Villanovense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 20%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanovense Jerez CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Jerez CF
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Villanovense
2:1
Apr 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Villanovense
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Jerez CF
0:0
Apr 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Jerez CF
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanovense 58 / 100
Jerez CF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanovense Jerez CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villanovense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Villanovense found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Villanovense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Villanovense VS Jerez CF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villanovense

(Home)
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1
Villanovense
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1
Villanovense
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
Page 1 of 6

Jerez CF

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)