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Villanovense vs Montijo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Munoz O.
67' Event
Matansio B.
78' Event
Banao M.

AI Match Summary

Villanovense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villanovense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Villanovense
11%
Draws
9%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Villanovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Villanovense at 2 per game, Montijo at 1.75.
  • Win probability leans Villanovense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 68%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanovense Montijo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Montijo
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Villanovense
1:0
Feb 4, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Montijo vs Villanovense
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Villanovense vs Montijo
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Montijo vs Villanovense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villanovense Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matansio B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Montijo Compare

Top Goalscorer Banao M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanovense 86 / 100
Montijo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanovense Montijo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villanovense found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Montijo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Villanovense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villanovense VS Montijo
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722