Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024

RSD Alcala

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villanueva del Pardillo CF play RSD Alcala in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villanueva del Pardillo CF averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. RSD Alcala averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Villanueva del Pardillo CF won 0, RSD Alcala won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 9, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Villanueva del Pardillo CF and 1.05 for RSD Alcala. This points to a RSD Alcala double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Villanueva del Pardillo CF

28%

Draws

42%

RSD Alcala

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Villanueva del Pardillo CF picked up more points recently compared to RSD Alcala.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 22%

RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villanueva del Pardillo CF	RSD Alcala
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	8	14
Draws	10	9
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	0.87	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

RSD Alcala vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs RSD Alcala

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

RSD Alcala vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Feb 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs RSD Alcala

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

RSD Alcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Barca D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanueva del Pardillo CF 31 / 100

RSD Alcala 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villanueva del Pardillo CF RSD Alcala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: RSD Alcala or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villanueva del Pardillo CF attacking → ← attacking RSD Alcala

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villanueva del Pardillo CF scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

RSD Alcala let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

RSD Alcala lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 51

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid C	34	23	7	4	62:18	76
2	CD Mostoles	34	17	12	5	57:33	63
3	Leganes B	34	16	10	8	47:33	58
4	CD Las Rozas	34	13	11	10	51:39	50
5	Colonia Moscardo	34	14	8	12	48:48	50
6	RSD Alcala	34	13	9	12	52:47	48
7	Tres Cantos	34	14	6	14	45:48	48
8	Alcorcon B	34	11	12	11	36:33	45
9	AD Torrejon	34	9	17	8	40:38	44
10	Galapagar	34	10	11	13	44:55	41
11	Paracuellos Antamira	34	10	10	14	39:47	40
12	Trival Valderas	34	8	16	10	33:40	40
13	Canillas	34	10	10	14	35:46	40
14	Collado Villalba	34	10	9	15	42:46	39
15	Rayo Vallecano B	34	11	6	17	43:57	39
16	Parla	34	9	11	14	37:47	38
17	Villanueva del Pardillo CF	34	8	11	15	27:39	35
18	Pozuelo de Alarcon	34	5	14	15	28:52	29