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Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs RSD Alcala Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Barca D.

AI Match Summary

RSD Alcala in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored RSD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
15%
Draws
76%
RSD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • RSD Alcala have won more games recently than Villanueva del Pardillo CF.
  • RSD Alcala are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • RSD Alcala have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 17%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanueva del Pardillo CF RSD Alcala
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs RSD Alcala
0:1
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1:0
Feb 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs RSD Alcala
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

RSD Alcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Barca D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanueva del Pardillo CF 15 / 100
RSD Alcala 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanueva del Pardillo CF RSD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RSD Alcala has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Villanueva del Pardillo CF scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Villanueva del Pardillo CF stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS RSD Alcala
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villanueva del Pardillo CF

(Home)
12 May
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1 : 2
Tres Cantos
05 May
Canillas
2 : 0
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
01 May
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
0 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
28 Apr
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
21 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 0
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
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RSD Alcala

(Away)
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid C 34 23 7 4 62:18 76
2 CD Mostoles 34 17 12 5 57:33 63
3 Leganes B 34 16 10 8 47:33 58
4 CD Las Rozas 34 13 11 10 51:39 50
5 Colonia Moscardo 34 14 8 12 48:48 50
6 RSD Alcala 34 13 9 12 52:47 48
7 Tres Cantos 34 14 6 14 45:48 48
8 Alcorcon B 34 11 12 11 36:33 45
9 AD Torrejon 34 9 17 8 40:38 44
10 Galapagar 34 10 11 13 44:55 41
11 Paracuellos Antamira 34 10 10 14 39:47 40
12 Trival Valderas 34 8 16 10 33:40 40
13 Canillas 34 10 10 14 35:46 40
14 Collado Villalba 34 10 9 15 42:46 39
15 Rayo Vallecano B 34 11 6 17 43:57 39
16 Parla 34 9 11 14 37:47 38
17 Villanueva del Pardillo CF 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
18 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 5 14 15 28:52 29
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 (Play Offs)