Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villaralbo vs Bembibre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villaralbo host Bembibre in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Villaralbo at 1.24 goals for, 1.17 against; Bembibre at 1.16 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Villaralbo slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.69) back Villaralbo to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Villaralbo
35%
Draws
41%
Bembibre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bembibre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villaralbo lately — more wins on the board than Bembibre.
  • 24% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 13%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaralbo Bembibre
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Villaralbo
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Bembibre
0:1
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Bembibre
4:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Villaralbo
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Villaralbo
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaralbo 30 / 100
Bembibre 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaralbo Bembibre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villaralbo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaralbo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Bembibre let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Villaralbo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villaralbo VS Bembibre
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villaralbo

(Home)
10 Oct
Villaralbo
2 : 2
Turegano
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2
Villaralbo
26 Sept
Villaralbo
4 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 6

Bembibre

(Away)
10 Oct
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 2
Bembibre
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Bembibre
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Palencia CA 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Leonesa B 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Bembibre 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
6 La Virgen 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
7 Mansilles 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
8 Arandina 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
9 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Almazan 6 1 4 1 10:12 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 6 1 3 2 11:9 6
13 Guijuelo 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
14 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
15 Turegano 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
17 Mirandes B 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)