Sport Picks
Villaralbo vs Santa Marta Tormes
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 
Match Events
20'
20'
Chopi
40'
40'
Rubo Blanco
(Penalty)
89'
89'
Garcia L.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Villaralbo and Santa Marta Tormes finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Marta Tormes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Marta Tormes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Santa Marta Tormes come out ahead of Villaralbo on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Santa Marta Tormes have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 19%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villaralbo | Santa Marta Tormes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Santa Marta Tormes
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Villaralbo
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Villaralbo
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Santa Marta Tormes
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villaralbo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Santa Marta Tormes Compare
Top Goalscorer Chopi
1 Goals Assists Leader Garcia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villaralbo 32 / 100
Santa Marta Tormes 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villaralbo Santa Marta Tormes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Marta Tormes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villaralbo's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Santa Marta Tormes has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Villaralbo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Villaralbo VS Santa Marta Tormes
1.57 Goals Scored 1.13
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Villaralbo
(Home) 26 Sept
Villaralbo
4 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS B
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2 Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0 Villaralbo
09 May
Mirandes B
4 : 2 Villaralbo
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Villaralbo
4 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS B
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
02 May
Villaralbo
2 : 1 Colegios Diocesanos
18 Apr
Villaralbo
1 : 1 Guijuelo
04 Apr
Villaralbo
1 : 1 CD Mojados
Page 1 of 4
Santa Marta Tormes
(Away) 27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1 Vimenor
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
19 Aug
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
08 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
24 May
Guijuelo
2 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos CF B | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:0 | 10 |
| 2 | Mansilles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Leonesa B | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 10 |
| 4 | La Virgen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Arandina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Bembibre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Palencia CA | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 9 | Almazan | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Palencia CF | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 14 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 2 |
| 15 | Turegano | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Mirandes B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 17 | Salamanca CF UDS B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Colegios Diocesanos | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)
