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Stadium Background

Villarreal C vs Rayo Ibense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Garcia A.
44' Event
Fofana D.

AI Match Summary

Villarreal C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarreal C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Villarreal C
15%
Draws
7%
Rayo Ibense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villarreal C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Villarreal C have won more games recently than Rayo Ibense.
  • Win probability leans Villarreal C's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Villarreal C here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Villarreal C Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Ibense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal C Rayo Ibense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.9 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Villarreal C vs Rayo Ibense
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Villarreal C
1:5
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Villarreal C
1:6
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Villarreal C vs Rayo Ibense
2:0
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Villarreal C vs Rayo Ibense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal C Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fofana D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Rayo Ibense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal C 95 / 100
Rayo Ibense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal C Rayo Ibense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal C found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Rayo Ibense conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Villarreal C has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal C VS Rayo Ibense
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarreal C

(Home)
24 May
Levante B
1 : 2
Villarreal C
17 May
Villarreal C
1 : 3
Levante B
09 May
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Torrellano
02 May
Levante B
0 : 1
Villarreal C
26 Apr
Villarreal C
1 : 0
Atzeneta
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Rayo Ibense

(Away)
01 Aug
Rayo Ibense
0 : 2
Alcoyano
08 May
Rayo Ibense
0 : 0
Levante B
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Rayo Ibense
0 : 1
Roda
17 Apr
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Rayo Ibense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)