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Villarreal C vs Utiel

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Villarreal C Logo

Villarreal C

3 - 1
FT
Utiel Logo

Utiel

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Henry K.
69' Event
Henry K.
78' Event
Junquero D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 game between Villarreal C and Utiel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarreal C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Villarreal C
30%
Draws
14%
Utiel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villarreal C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villarreal C come out ahead of Utiel on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Villarreal C taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Villarreal C here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Villarreal C Clean Sheet 68%
Utiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal C Utiel
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 3 11
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.83 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Villarreal C vs Utiel
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Villarreal C
0:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Villarreal C
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Villarreal C vs Utiel
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Villarreal C vs Utiel
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal C Compare

Top Goalscorer Henry K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barattucci N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Utiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Junquero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal C 95 / 100
Utiel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal C Utiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Villarreal C scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Utiel conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Villarreal C went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal C VS Utiel
2 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarreal C

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 1
Villarreal C
13 Sept
Villarreal C
2 : 1
Roda
06 Sept
Soneja
0 : 3
Villarreal C
24 May
Levante B
1 : 2
Villarreal C
17 May
Villarreal C
1 : 3
Levante B
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Utiel

(Away)
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
28 Aug
Utiel
1 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
21 Aug
Utiel
1 : 1
Vall de Uxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)