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Villarreal vs Elche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villarreal host Elche in the LaLiga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Elche have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Villarreal have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.91. Past meetings favor Villarreal slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.81) point toward Villarreal. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Villarreal
15%
Draws
34%
Elche
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villarreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Villarreal have won more games recently than Elche.
  • Villarreal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 11%
Elche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal Elche
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.91 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Elche
2:1
Jan 3, 2026 LaLiga
Elche vs Villarreal
1:3
Feb 4, 2023 LaLiga
Elche vs Villarreal
3:1
Sep 4, 2022 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Elche
4:0
Jan 16, 2022 LaLiga
Elche vs Villarreal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal 83 / 100
Elche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal Elche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Elche conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Elche registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal VS Elche
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarreal

(Home)
20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1
Levante
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3
Villarreal
14 Sept
Villarreal
1 : 2
Betis
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2
Villarreal
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3
Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 7

Elche

(Away)
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3
Elche
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)