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Villarreal vs Levante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Mandi A.
41' Event
Perez A.
Assist: Moleiro A.
42' Event
Romero I.
Assist: Toljan J.

AI Match Summary

Villarreal in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarreal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Villarreal
20%
Draws
36%
Levante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villarreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Villarreal average 1.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Levante's 1.55.
  • Win probability leans Villarreal's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Villarreal have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 17%
Levante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal Levante
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Levante
3:1
Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Villarreal vs Levante
1:0
May 2, 2026 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Levante
5:1
Feb 18, 2026 LaLiga
Levante vs Villarreal
0:1
Aug 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Villarreal vs Levante
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moleiro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal 36 / 100
Levante 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Villarreal's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Levante let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Villarreal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal VS Levante
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarreal

(Home)
03 Nov
Villarreal
0 : 6
PSG
30 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 1
Espanyol
27 Oct
Manacor
0 : 5
Villarreal
24 Oct
Valencia
1 : 2
Villarreal
20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3
Villarreal
Page 1 of 6

Levante

(Away)
31 Oct
Levante
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid
25 Oct
Real Sociedad
2 : 1
Levante
21 Oct
Levante
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
16 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Levante
12 Oct
Levante
3 : 3
Sevilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 10 0 1 46:12 30
2 Atl. Madrid 11 9 1 1 22:8 28
3 Real Madrid 11 9 0 2 28:10 27
4 Betis 11 7 2 2 18:15 23
5 Real Sociedad 11 6 1 4 20:20 19
6 Sevilla 11 5 2 4 17:19 17
7 Ath Bilbao 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
8 Dep. A Coruna 11 3 5 3 15:14 14
9 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15:15 12
10 Celta Vigo 11 2 6 3 10:10 12
11 Alaves 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 Rayo Vallecano 10 3 3 4 15:20 12
13 Getafe 11 3 3 5 8:16 12
14 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13:14 11
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 11:22 11
16 Racing Santander 11 3 2 6 15:29 11
17 Elche 11 2 4 5 14:18 10
18 Levante 11 2 4 5 16:21 10
19 Valencia 11 2 3 6 8:17 9
20 Malaga 11 0 5 6 8:21 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)