Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villarreal vs Levante

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Mandi A.
41' Event
Perez A.
Assist: Moleiro A.
42' Event
Romero I.
Assist: Toljan J.

AI Match Summary

Villarreal in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarreal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Villarreal
20%
Draws
36%
Levante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villarreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Villarreal have won more games recently than Levante.
  • Win probability leans Villarreal's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Villarreal have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 17%
Levante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal Levante
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Levante
3:1
Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Villarreal vs Levante
1:0
May 2, 2026 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Levante
5:1
Feb 18, 2026 LaLiga
Levante vs Villarreal
0:1
Aug 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Villarreal vs Levante
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moleiro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal 57 / 100
Levante 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Levante let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Villarreal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal VS Levante
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarreal

(Home)
20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1
Levante
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3
Villarreal
14 Sept
Villarreal
1 : 2
Betis
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2
Villarreal
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3
Dep. A Coruna
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Levante

(Away)
20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1
Levante
13 Sept
Levante
2 : 4
Barcelona
06 Sept
Malaga
0 : 0
Levante
29 Aug
Levante
5 : 2
Betis
24 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 0
Levante
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)