Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villarreal vs Levante

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Alvarez C. In: Losada I.
Out: Alvarez C.
38' Event
Mikautadze G.
45'
Arriaga K.

AI Match Summary

Villarreal in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarreal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Villarreal
15%
Draws
36%
Levante
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villarreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Very High Confidence
  • Villarreal have won more games recently than Levante.
  • Model gives Villarreal a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Villarreal have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 14%
Levante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal Levante
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Levante
5:1
Feb 18, 2026 LaLiga
Levante vs Villarreal
0:1
Aug 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Villarreal vs Levante
3:1
Apr 2, 2022 LaLiga
Levante vs Villarreal
2:0
Jan 3, 2022 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Levante
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikautadze G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moleiro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Espi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal 57 / 100
Levante 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Villarreal found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Levante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Villarreal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal VS Levante
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarreal

(Home)
05 Aug
Villarreal
1 : 0
Levante
01 Aug
Lens
3 : 1
Villarreal
29 Jul
Villarreal
2 : 1
Como
29 Jul
Al-Ula
0 : 3
Villarreal
25 Jul
PSV
1 : 3
Villarreal
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Levante

(Away)
05 Aug
Villarreal
1 : 0
Levante
01 Aug
Levante
2 : 1
Albacete
26 Jul
Levante
1 : 0
Al Qadsiah
17 Jul
Levante
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
11 Jul
Levante
2 : 1
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 72
4 Atl. Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 69
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 46
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43:58 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44:56 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 29
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)