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Villarreal vs PSG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
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Match Events

9' Event
Neves J.
12' Event
Doue D.
Assist: Akliouche M.
13' Event
Mayulu S.

AI Match Summary

PSG in this Champions League matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Villarreal
15%
Draws
61%
PSG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Villarreal haven't matched PSG's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on PSG taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 10%
PSG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal PSG
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.9 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 Champions League
Villarreal vs PSG
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

PSG Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Neves J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal 10 / 100
PSG 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal PSG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Villarreal's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

PSG let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Villarreal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal VS PSG
1.88 Goals Scored 3.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarreal

(Home)
03 Nov
Villarreal
0 : 6
PSG
30 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 1
Espanyol
27 Oct
Manacor
0 : 5
Villarreal
24 Oct
Valencia
1 : 2
Villarreal
20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3
Villarreal
Page 1 of 6

PSG

(Away)
03 Nov
Villarreal
0 : 6
PSG
30 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 5
PSG
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
20 Oct
PSG
4 : 2
Barcelona
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3
PSG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 4 4 0 0 20:5 12
2 Real Madrid 4 4 0 0 13:7 12
3 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
4 Como 4 3 0 1 19:6 9
5 Barcelona 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
6 Aston Villa 4 3 0 1 12:6 9
7 Manchester City 4 3 0 1 12:7 9
8 Liverpool 4 3 0 1 14:10 9
9 Club Brugge 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
10 Sporting CP 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
11 Betis 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
12 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
13 Bayern Munich 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
15 Inter 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
16 LASK Linz 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
17 Manchester United 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
18 Galatasaray 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
19 Fenerbahce 4 1 2 1 6:11 5
20 AS Roma 4 1 1 2 10:8 4
21 Shakhtar 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
22 Viking 4 1 1 2 9:10 4
23 Atl. Madrid 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
24 PSV 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
25 Bodo/Glimt 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
26 FC Porto 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
27 Napoli 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
28 Villarreal 4 1 0 3 8:14 3
29 AEK 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
31 Sabah FC 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
32 Feyenoord 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
33 Lens 4 1 0 3 4:16 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
35 Lille 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 0 0 4 1:17 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)