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Villarrobledo vs La Roda

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
Sun, Mar 6, 2022
3 - 0
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villarrobledo host La Roda in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022. Villarrobledo are expected to control this from the start. Villarrobledo have averaged 1.28 scored and 0.84 conceded recently, against La Roda's 0 scored and 3.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Villarrobledo have won 3 to La Roda's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 5, 2022, ending 0:5. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.06) point toward Villarrobledo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Villarrobledo
20%
Draws
0%
La Roda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villarrobledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Villarrobledo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Villarrobledo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 20%
La Roda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrobledo La Roda
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 0
Draws 11 0
Losses 8 30
Goals Scored 1.28 0
Goals Conceded 0.84 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2022 Club Friendly
La Roda vs Villarrobledo
0:5
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs La Roda
3:0
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Villarrobledo
0:3
Sep 16, 2020 Club Friendly
Villarrobledo vs La Roda
2:2
Sep 12, 2020 Club Friendly
La Roda vs Villarrobledo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrobledo 85 / 100
La Roda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrobledo La Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrobledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Roda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: La Roda registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Villarrobledo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villarrobledo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrobledo

(Home)
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1
Yeclano
Page 1 of 7

La Roda

(Away)
05 Aug
La Roda
0 : 5
Villarrobledo
01 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 0
La Roda
24 Apr
La Roda
0 : 3
Conquense
10 Apr
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Roda
03 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
3 : 0
La Roda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalajara 34 23 8 3 71:19 77
2 Quintanar del Rey 34 21 7 6 63:29 70
3 Illescas 34 20 7 7 56:33 67
4 Villarrobledo 34 18 10 6 53:25 64
5 Torrijos 34 17 9 8 50:30 60
6 Conquense 34 15 11 8 49:30 56
7 Villarrubia 34 16 7 11 45:38 55
8 Azuqueca 34 16 6 12 55:40 54
9 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 15 9 10 50:26 54
10 CD Tarancon 34 16 3 15 46:45 51
11 Villacanas 34 13 7 14 47:51 46
12 Albacete B 34 11 11 12 47:40 44
13 UD Almansa 34 12 7 15 44:51 43
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 10 7 17 52:56 37
15 San Clemente 34 10 6 18 30:50 36
16 Miguelturreno 34 7 4 23 35:67 25
17 Hogar Alcarreno 34 4 5 25 29:90 17
18 La Roda 34 0 0 34 0:102 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 (Play Offs)