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Villarrobledo vs Noblejas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villarrobledo host Noblejas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Villarrobledo have averaged 1.09 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against Noblejas's 1.04 scored and 1.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Villarrobledo slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.83 xG vs 1.10) point toward Villarrobledo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Villarrobledo
35%
Draws
42%
Noblejas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Noblejas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villarrobledo come out ahead of Noblejas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Villarrobledo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 20%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrobledo Noblejas
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.09 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Villarrobledo
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Noblejas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrobledo 36 / 100
Noblejas 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrobledo Noblejas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noblejas has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Villarrobledo scored in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Villarrobledo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villarrobledo VS Noblejas
1 Goals Scored 1.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrobledo

(Home)
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1
Yeclano
09 May
Villacanas
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 7

Noblejas

(Away)
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
19 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 2
Noblejas
09 May
Noblejas
1 : 1
Marchamalo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Marchamalo 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Noblejas 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
4 Torrijos 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
5 Villarrobledo 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
6 Illescas 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 UD Almansa 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
8 Toledo 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
9 Villacanas 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
10 La Solana 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
11 Socuellamos 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
12 CD Tarancon 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
13 CD Villa 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Quintanar del Rey 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
15 Villarrubia 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
16 San Clemente 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
17 CD Guadalajara B 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
18 Huracan de Balazote 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)