Sport Picks
Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 
Match Events
31'
31'
Caler F.
70'
70'
Ortiz R.
84'
84'
Gonzalez R.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between Villarrobledo and Quintanar del Rey finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villarrobledo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Villarrobledo come out ahead of Quintanar del Rey on wins alone.
- Villarrobledo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 68%
Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Quintanar del Rey |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrobledo
1:0
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrobledo
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villarrobledo Compare
Top Goalscorer Toure M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Quintanar del Rey Compare
Top Goalscorer Caler F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villarrobledo 95 / 100
Quintanar del Rey 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villarrobledo Quintanar del Rey
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villarrobledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Villarrobledo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Quintanar del Rey let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Villarrobledo found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Villarrobledo VS Quintanar del Rey
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Villarrobledo
(Home) 03 Oct
La Solana
0 : 1 Villarrobledo
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0 Noblejas
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4 Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0 Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0 Noblejas
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1 Yeclano
03 May
Villarrobledo
0 : 0 Illescas
12 Apr
Villarrobledo
0 : 0 Albacete B
Page 1 of 3
Quintanar del Rey
(Away) 10 Oct
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
04 Oct
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 2 CD Villa
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2 Illescas
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3 Quintanar del Rey
19 Apr
CF Intercity
1 : 2 Quintanar del Rey
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Illescas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 6 | UD Almansa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 7 | CD Tarancon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 8 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 9 | Marchamalo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 8 |
| 10 | San Clemente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Villacanas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 12 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Quintanar del Rey | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Socuellamos | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 15 | La Solana | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 16 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 17 | CD Guadalajara B | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracan de Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)
