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Villarrubia vs Hellin Deportivo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015
Sun, Dec 14, 2014
2 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villarrubia host Hellin Deportivo in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015. Villarrubia go into this one as the clear favorite. Hellin Deportivo have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Villarrubia have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Villarrubia have won 3 to Hellin Deportivo's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2015, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 0.94, favoring Villarrubia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Villarrubia
6%
Draws
4%
Hellin Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Villarrubia have won more games recently than Hellin Deportivo.
  • Win probability leans Villarrubia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 20%
Hellin Deportivo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrubia Hellin Deportivo
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 16 2
Draws 6 1
Losses 11 29
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hellin Deportivo vs Villarrubia
0:2
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Hellin Deportivo
2:0
Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Hellin Deportivo
0:3
Sep 8, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hellin Deportivo vs Villarrubia
0:1
May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Hellin Deportivo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrubia 85 / 100
Hellin Deportivo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrubia Hellin Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hellin Deportivo let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Hellin Deportivo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Villarrubia found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Villarrubia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrubia

(Home)
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
03 May
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 0
Villarrubia
25 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 2
Marchamalo
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2
Villarrubia
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
Page 1 of 7

Hellin Deportivo

(Away)
17 May
Hellin Deportivo
0 : 2
Mora CF
10 May
Madridejos
2 : 0
Hellin Deportivo
03 May
Hellin Deportivo
0 : 2
Villarrubia
26 Apr
Toledo 2
2 : 0
Hellin Deportivo
19 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
0 : 2
CD Pedroneras
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CF Talavera38259485:2784
2UD Almansa38247762:3279
3Quintanar del Rey382112548:1975
4Manzanares382110759:2473
5Madridejos382012643:2172
6Villarrubia381714750:3565
7Marchamalo381781355:5159
8Mora CF381691351:3957
9Villarrobledo381591458:4954
10CD Puertollano3814111354:4653
11CD Pedroneras381491545:3751
12Toledo 2381622047:5550
13Atletico Ibanes3812121442:4048
14Albacete B381381759:5647
15Manchego Ciudad Real381371847:5746
16Almagro3811111643:4444
17La Gineta3811101739:5343
18Daimiel381172039:6740
19Alcazar38253121:11711
20Hellin Deportivo3802363:812
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)