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Villaverde Norte vs Union Sur Yaiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villaverde Norte host Union Sur Yaiza in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. This has Union Sur Yaiza written all over it on paper. Union Sur Yaiza have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Villaverde Norte have conceded 2 and scored 0.75. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.17) point toward Union Sur Yaiza. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Villaverde Norte
22%
Draws
59%
Union Sur Yaiza
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Union Sur Yaiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Sur Yaiza come out ahead of Villaverde Norte on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Villaverde Norte Clean Sheet 20%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaverde Norte Union Sur Yaiza
Matches Played 4 28
Wins 0 6
Draws 1 5
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0.79
Goals Conceded 2 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaverde Norte 36 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaverde Norte Union Sur Yaiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Sur Yaiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaverde Norte's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Union Sur Yaiza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Union Sur Yaiza's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Villaverde Norte went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villaverde Norte VS Union Sur Yaiza
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villaverde Norte

(Home)
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2
Mensajero
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0
Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1
Villaverde Norte

Union Sur Yaiza

(Away)
03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
2 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
3 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
4 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
6 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
7 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
11 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
12 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
14 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)