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Villaverde San Andres vs AD Alcala

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villaverde San Andres play AD Alcala in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villaverde San Andres averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. AD Alcala averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Villaverde San Andres won 1, AD Alcala won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 13, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Villaverde San Andres and 1.06 for AD Alcala. This points to a Villaverde San Andres double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Villaverde San Andres
35%
Draws
28%
AD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villaverde San Andres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Villaverde San Andres picked up more points recently compared to AD Alcala.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Villaverde San Andres Clean Sheet 22%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaverde San Andres AD Alcala
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 14 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs AD Alcala
0:0
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Villaverde San Andres
0:3
Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs AD Alcala
0:1
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Villaverde San Andres
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaverde San Andres 38 / 100
AD Alcala 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaverde San Andres AD Alcala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villaverde San Andres or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villaverde San Andres attacking → ← attacking AD Alcala

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaverde San Andres scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

AD Alcala let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Villaverde San Andres went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

AD Alcala lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 29
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Madrid B40298382:2695
2CD Las Rozas40229968:3575
3CDE Madrid402012861:4272
4Alcorcon B401912963:3969
5Paracuellos Antamira401991256:4466
6Ursaria401616847:2764
7RSD Alcala4018101245:4064
8Getafe B4017101356:4661
9Rayo Vallecano B4015121359:4357
10AD Torrejon401691555:4857
11Pozuelo de Alarcon4015121339:4557
12Galapagar401681650:5756
13Trival Valderas4013141340:4253
14Parla4014101646:4652
15Tres Cantos401381941:5247
16Villaverde San Andres401362135:4545
17Moratalaz401272146:7343
18Villaviciosa de Odon401082247:7338
19AD Alcala409102131:5837
20Carabanchel407122143:7033
21Colonia Moscardo40523320:7917