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Villaverde San Andres vs Parla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villaverde San Andres play Parla in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villaverde San Andres averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Parla averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Villaverde San Andres won 3, Parla won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Villaverde San Andres and 1.38 for Parla. This points to a Villaverde San Andres double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Villaverde San Andres
19%
Draws
29%
Parla
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Villaverde San Andres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Villaverde San Andres picked up more points recently compared to Parla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Villaverde San Andres Clean Sheet 17%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaverde San Andres Parla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 0.9 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs Parla
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Villaverde San Andres
0:2
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Villaverde San Andres
2:3
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs Parla
0:2
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs Parla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villaverde San Andres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzano C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaverde San Andres 50 / 100
Parla 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaverde San Andres Parla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villaverde San Andres or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villaverde San Andres attacking → ← attacking Parla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaverde San Andres scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Parla let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Villaverde San Andres went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Parla lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 22
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622