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Vilniaus Vytis vs Dziugas Telsiai

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Kazakevicius A.

AI Match Summary

Vilniaus Vytis in this Lithuanian Cup 2020 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vilniaus Vytis
6%
Draws
90%
Dziugas Telsiai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dziugas Telsiai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilniaus Vytis have won more games recently than Dziugas Telsiai.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dziugas Telsiai taking it.
  • Vilniaus Vytis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vilniaus Vytis, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vilniaus Vytis Clean Sheet 10%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilniaus Vytis Dziugas Telsiai
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 17 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 4 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2020 I Lyga
Vilniaus Vytis vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:0
Aug 29, 2020 I Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai vs Vilniaus Vytis
3:1
Jun 30, 2020 Lithuanian Cup
Vilniaus Vytis vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:0
Sep 8, 2019 I Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai vs Vilniaus Vytis
2:2
Jun 26, 2019 Lithuanian Cup
Dziugas Telsiai vs Vilniaus Vytis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilniaus Vytis Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazakevicius A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilniaus Vytis 10 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilniaus Vytis Dziugas Telsiai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DZI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilniaus Vytis's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dziugas Telsiai conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Dziugas Telsiai registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilniaus Vytis VS Dziugas Telsiai
0 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilniaus Vytis

(Home)
21 Apr
Vilniaus Vytis
0 : 4
Banga
31 Oct
FK Panevezys 2
3 : 1
Vilniaus Vytis
23 Oct
FA Siauliai
4 : 1
Vilniaus Vytis
16 Oct
Dainava Alytus
4 : 2
Vilniaus Vytis
03 Oct
Vilniaus Vytis
1 : 3
Jonava
Page 1 of 7

Dziugas Telsiai

(Away)
19 Jul
Dziugas Telsiai
1 : 0
Banga
03 Jul
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
28 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 0
Zalgiris
24 Jun
FA Siauliai
2 : 1
Dziugas Telsiai
21 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FK Babrungas-
TBD-
Tauras Taurage4
Rosa Klaipeda0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Hegelmann-
SSPC FSK Radviliskis-
TBD-
TBD-
Jonava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Panevezys-
Marijampole City5
Neptunas1
BFA Vilnius1
Nevezis Kedainiai0
Ekranas1
Dainava Alytus2
Tera Vilnius2
FK Atmosfera4
Riteriai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banga-
FA Siauliai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zalgiris-
Utenis2
Atlantas1
TBD-
FK Sveikata Kybartai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Viltis Vilnius-
TBD-
TBD-
Saned Joniskis-
Vilniaus Vytis-
TBD-
Silute1
Dziugas Telsiai3
Juventa Siauliai2
Vidzgiris Alytus3
Ateitis Vilnius0
FK Minija4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suduva-
1/16-finals
FK Babrungas2
Tauras Taurage1
TBD-
FC Hegelmann-
SSPC FSK Radviliskis1
Jonava5
TBD-
FK Panevezys-
Marijampole City2
BFA Vilnius3
Dainava Alytus3
FK Atmosfera0
Riteriai-
TBD-
TBD-
Banga-
FA Siauliai-
TBD-
TBD-
Zalgiris-
Utenis0
FK Sveikata Kybartai2
TBD-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Viltis Vilnius11
Saned Joniskis0
Vilniaus Vytis1
Dziugas Telsiai0
Vidzgiris Alytus2
FK Minija6
TBD-
Suduva-
1/8-finals
FK Babrungas1
FC Hegelmann4
Jonava0
FK Panevezys3
BFA Vilnius1
Dainava Alytus2
Riteriai2
Banga0
FA Siauliai0
Zalgiris2
FK Sveikata Kybartai0
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Viltis Vilnius0
Vilniaus Vytis4
FK Minija0
Suduva3
Quarter-finals
FC Hegelmann0
FK Panevezys3
Dainava Alytus0
Riteriai2
Zalgiris2
FK Kauno Zalgiris1
Vilniaus Vytis0
Suduva3
Semi-finals
FK Panevezys4
Riteriai0
Zalgiris1
Suduva2
Final
FK Panevezys2
Suduva1