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Vilzing vs Bad Kotzting

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilzing play Bad Kotzting in the Club Friendly 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vilzing averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Bad Kotzting averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Vilzing won 2, Bad Kotzting won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 11, 2023 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Vilzing and 0.88 for Bad Kotzting. This points to a Vilzing double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Vilzing
15%
Draws
31%
Bad Kotzting
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vilzing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Vilzing picked up more points recently compared to Bad Kotzting.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Vilzing Clean Sheet 25%
Bad Kotzting Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilzing Bad Kotzting
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Vilzing vs Bad Kotzting
6:0
Apr 18, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bad Kotzting vs Vilzing
1:0
Sep 10, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Vilzing vs Bad Kotzting
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilzing Compare

Top Goalscorer Stowasser T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Junger A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bad Kotzting Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilzing 54 / 100
Bad Kotzting 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilzing Bad Kotzting

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilzing Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vilzing & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vilzing attacking → ← attacking Bad Kotzting

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilzing scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bad Kotzting let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Vilzing went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bad Kotzting lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 36
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00