Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilzing vs Buchbach

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Stossberger T.
Own Goal
65' Event
Junger A.
86' Event
Hingerl K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 game between Vilzing and Buchbach finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilzing.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Vilzing
30%
Draws
51%
Buchbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Buchbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vilzing carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Buchbach taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vilzing have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vilzing Clean Sheet 10%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilzing Buchbach
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.89 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Vilzing vs Buchbach
3:0
Oct 10, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Vilzing
1:4
Apr 26, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Vilzing vs Buchbach
3:1
Oct 11, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Vilzing
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Vilzing vs Buchbach
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilzing Compare

Top Goalscorer Junger A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Buchbach Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilzing 10 / 100
Buchbach 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilzing Buchbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buchbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Vilzing found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Buchbach conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Vilzing went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilzing VS Buchbach
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilzing

(Home)
12 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Vilzing
04 Sept
Vilzing
2 : 2
Munich 1860
29 Aug
Burghausen
4 : 5
Vilzing
22 Aug
Vilzing
0 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
14 Aug
Augsburg II
3 : 1
Vilzing
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Buchbach

(Away)
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
05 Sept
Landsberg
1 : 3
Buchbach
29 Aug
Buchbach
2 : 1
Bayreuth
21 Aug
Ansbach
1 : 3
Buchbach
14 Aug
Buchbach
1 : 1
TSV Aubstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)