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Vimenor vs Guarnizo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Cagigas M.
88' Event
Tricio I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Vimenor
20%
Draws
15%
Guarnizo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vimenor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarnizo lately — more wins on the board than Vimenor.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Vimenor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Vimenor Clean Sheet 68%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vimenor Guarnizo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Guarnizo
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Vimenor
1:0
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Vimenor
0:2
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Guarnizo
0:0
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Vimenor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vimenor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tricio I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cagigas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vimenor 86 / 100
Guarnizo 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vimenor Guarnizo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vimenor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vimenor found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Vimenor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guarnizo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Guarnizo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vimenor VS Guarnizo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vimenor

(Home)
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1
Vimenor
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
Vimenor
2 : 0
CD Montanas del Pas
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Guarnizo

(Away)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)