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Vimenor vs Guarnizo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Cagigas M.
88' Event
Tricio I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vimenor
39%
Draws
30%
Guarnizo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarnizo lately — more wins on the board than Vimenor.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Vimenor Clean Sheet 16%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vimenor Guarnizo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Guarnizo
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Vimenor
1:0
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Vimenor
0:2
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Guarnizo
0:0
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Vimenor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vimenor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tricio I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cagigas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vimenor 31 / 100
Guarnizo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vimenor Guarnizo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vimenor found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Guarnizo let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vimenor stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vimenor VS Guarnizo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vimenor

(Home)
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
Vimenor
2 : 0
CD Montanas del Pas
26 Apr
UM Escobedo
2 : 0
Vimenor
18 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 2
Vimenor
11 Apr
Vimenor
1 : 3
CD Tropezon
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Guarnizo

(Away)
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13CD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)