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Vimenor vs Naval Reinosa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vimenor play Naval Reinosa in the Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025. Vimenor are favorites here. Recently, Vimenor averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Naval Reinosa averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Vimenor won 3, Naval Reinosa won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 16, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Vimenor and 0.81 for Naval Reinosa. This points to a Vimenor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Vimenor
19%
Draws
25%
Naval Reinosa
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Vimenor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Vimenor picked up more points recently compared to Naval Reinosa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Vimenor Clean Sheet 26%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vimenor Naval Reinosa
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.47 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Naval Reinosa
1:3
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Vimenor
1:2
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Naval Reinosa
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Vimenor
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Naval Reinosa
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vimenor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Naval Reinosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kike B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vimenor 56 / 100
Naval Reinosa 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vimenor Naval Reinosa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vimenor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vimenor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vimenor attacking → ← attacking Naval Reinosa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vimenor scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Naval Reinosa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Vimenor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Naval Reinosa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 28
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1UD Samano342010452:2270
2CD Tropezon34207758:3067
3Atletico Albericia34197864:3964
4Cayon CD341951061:4162
5Castro341611745:2659
6Vimenor341761163:4257
7Bezana341591046:4154
8Torina341481249:4450
9CD Barquereno3413101160:5949
10Guarnizo341115844:3748
11SD Revilla341261646:5342
12CD Colindres34991636:5336
13Gama34991634:5636
14Atletico Mineros34981733:5835
15Barreda Balompie348101649:6534
16Naval Reinosa34961940:5933
17CD Siete Villas34772029:5328
18CD Monte34552433:6420