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Vimenor vs UD Samano

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
2 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
50' Event
77' Event

AI Match Summary

Vimenor host UD Samano in the Tercera RFEF - Group 3. Vimenor are expected to control this from the start. UD Samano have shipped 2.59 goals a game lately, while Vimenor have conceded 1.08 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor UD Samano slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2025, ending 3:1. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.06) point toward Vimenor. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Vimenor
15%
Draws
12%
UD Samano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vimenor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vimenor come out ahead of UD Samano on wins alone.
  • Vimenor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vimenor Clean Sheet 20%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vimenor UD Samano
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 21 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.5 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
UD Samano vs Vimenor
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs UD Samano
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Vimenor
1:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs UD Samano
2:0
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Vimenor
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vimenor 85 / 100
UD Samano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vimenor UD Samano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vimenor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vimenor's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

UD Samano let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: UD Samano has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vimenor VS UD Samano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Vimenor

(Home)
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1
Vimenor
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
Vimenor
2 : 0
CD Montanas del Pas
26 Apr
UM Escobedo
2 : 0
Vimenor
Page 1 of 8

UD Samano

(Away)
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3
Numancia
12 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
UD Samano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bezana 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 CD Tropezon 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 CD Revilla 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 CD Laredo 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
5 Atletico Mineros 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Vimenor 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Cayon CD 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 UD Samano 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 CD Barquereno 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 Torina 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Castro 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Naval Reinosa 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Velarde 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 UM Escobedo 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
15 Selaya 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
16 Guarnizo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
17 Solares 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18 Atletico Albericia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)