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Vindbjart vs Varhaug - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Vaage J.
23' Event
Madland L.
25' Event
Svela S.

AI Match Summary

Varhaug in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varhaug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vindbjart
15%
Draws
59%
Varhaug
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varhaug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Vindbjart have won more games recently than Varhaug.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vindbjart Clean Sheet 16%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vindbjart Varhaug
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.19 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vindbjart vs Varhaug
3:4
Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Vindbjart
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vindbjart Compare

Top Goalscorer Heggland H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Svela S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Madland L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vaage J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vindbjart 36 / 100
Varhaug 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vindbjart Varhaug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varhaug Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vindbjart scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Varhaug conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Vindbjart has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vindbjart VS Varhaug
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vindbjart

(Home)
17 Oct
Vindbjart
3 : 4
Varhaug
10 Oct
Viking 2
5 : 1
Vindbjart
03 Oct
Vindbjart
1 : 2
Flekkeroy
26 Sept
Brodd
0 : 2
Vindbjart
19 Sept
Vindbjart
0 : 1
Mandalskameratene
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Varhaug

(Away)
17 Oct
Vindbjart
3 : 4
Varhaug
10 Oct
Varhaug
1 : 3
Madla IL
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
25 Sept
Varhaug
4 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
19 Sept
Flekkeroy
1 : 1
Varhaug
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