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Vinhais vs AD Limianos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Marques J.
13' Event
Silva M.
22' Event

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Vinhais and AD Limianos finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Limianos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vinhais
20%
Draws
80%
AD Limianos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Limianos come out ahead of Vinhais on wins alone.
  • AD Limianos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Vinhais Clean Sheet 10%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinhais AD Limianos
Matches Played 10 34
Wins 0 16
Draws 0 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.56
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vinhais vs AD Limianos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vinhais Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinhais 10 / 100
AD Limianos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinhais AD Limianos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Limianos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Vinhais found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (10 games).

Scoring Trends

Vinhais VS AD Limianos
0.33 Goals Scored 1.5
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinhais

(Home)
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Vinhais
0 : 1
Maria de Fonte
Page 1 of 2

AD Limianos

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 AD Limianos 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
6 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)