Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vinotinto vs America de Quito

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vinotinto play America de Quito in the Serie B 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vinotinto averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. America de Quito averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Vinotinto won 2, America de Quito won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 10, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Vinotinto and 0.75 for America de Quito. This points to a Vinotinto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vinotinto
17%
Draws
40%
America de Quito
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vinotinto picked up more points recently compared to America de Quito.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 27%
America de Quito Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinotinto America de Quito
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Vinotinto
1:0
Jul 21, 2023 Serie B
Vinotinto vs America de Quito
2:0
Jul 1, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Vinotinto
1:4
Mar 22, 2023 Serie B
Vinotinto vs America de Quito
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Cucco B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farias L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

America de Quito Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinotinto 44 / 100
America de Quito 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinotinto America de Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vinotinto or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vinotinto attacking → ← attacking America de Quito

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinotinto scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

America de Quito let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vinotinto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

America de Quito lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 38
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Macara361810847:3464
2Imbabura361513858:4358
3Vinotinto361413954:3955
4Manta3614101239:3752
5Independiente Juniors3613121140:4051
6Nueve de Octubre361281648:4844
7Vargas Torres3610141227:3444
8Chacaritas361271744:4743
9America de Quito3611101546:5843
10Buhos ULVR365151630:5330