Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vinotinto vs Atletico FC

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Vinotinto Logo

Vinotinto

1 - 0
FT
Atletico FC Logo

Atletico FC

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Guelfi B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vinotinto in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vinotinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Vinotinto
20%
Draws
28%
Atletico FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico FC haven't matched Vinotinto's recent run of results.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vinotinto have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinotinto Atletico FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 13
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Atletico FC
1:0
May 31, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Atletico FC
3:0
Mar 26, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs Vinotinto
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Guelfi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Atletico FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinotinto 41 / 100
Atletico FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinotinto Atletico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinotinto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Vinotinto stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Vinotinto scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Atletico FC conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vinotinto VS Atletico FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinotinto

(Home)
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
03 Sept
Vinotinto
4 : 2
San Antonio
27 Aug
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

Atletico FC

(Away)
24 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
Atletico FC
10 Sept
San Antonio
0 : 3
Atletico FC
04 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 2
Nueve de Octubre
27 Aug
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vinotinto 27 13 7 7 36:21 46
2 Atletico FC 27 11 13 3 33:18 46
3 Nueve de Octubre 27 11 12 4 31:19 45
4 Independiente Juniors 27 11 11 5 33:23 44
5 CD Cuenca Juniors 27 10 8 9 22:29 38
6 San Antonio 27 7 11 9 26:32 32
Promotion - Liga Pro 2027 (First stage)