Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vinotinto vs Dep. Santo Domingo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Vargas P.
63' Event
Segovia J.
90' Event
Curcio N.

AI Match Summary

Vinotinto play Dep. Santo Domingo in the Serie B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vinotinto averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Dep. Santo Domingo averaged 0.38 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Vinotinto won 1, Dep. Santo Domingo won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Vinotinto and 0.69 for Dep. Santo Domingo. This points to a Vinotinto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vinotinto
39%
Draws
31%
Dep. Santo Domingo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Santo Domingo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vinotinto.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinotinto Dep. Santo Domingo
Matches Played 28 23
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Dep. Santo Domingo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Segovia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dep. Santo Domingo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinotinto 41 / 100
Dep. Santo Domingo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinotinto Dep. Santo Domingo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinotinto scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Dep. Santo Domingo let in goals in 57% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vinotinto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Santo Domingo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vinotinto VS Dep. Santo Domingo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1585219:1129
2Atletico FC1568117:1226
3CD Cuenca Juniors1675418:1826
4Independiente Juniors1566317:1124
5Cumbaya1656519:1621
6Vinotinto1555520:1320
7San Antonio1547418:1519
8LDU Portoviejo1654714:2019
9Dep. Santo Domingo1556412:1018
10Gualaceo1565413:1017
1122 de Julio153398:216
12EL Nacional1604129:271