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Vinotinto vs San Antonio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Mina G.
44'
Mina G.
59' Event
Charcopa K.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Vinotinto and San Antonio finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vinotinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vinotinto
30%
Draws
6%
San Antonio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Vinotinto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vinotinto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%
San Antonio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinotinto San Antonio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.34 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Serie B
San Antonio vs Vinotinto
0:0
Sep 3, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs San Antonio
4:2
Jul 29, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs San Antonio
0:1
May 7, 2026 Serie B
San Antonio vs Vinotinto
1:1
Sep 12, 2024 Serie B
Vinotinto vs San Antonio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garces R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

San Antonio Compare

Top Goalscorer Charcopa K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinotinto 95 / 100
San Antonio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinotinto San Antonio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinotinto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Vinotinto remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Vinotinto scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Away concern: San Antonio has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vinotinto VS San Antonio
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinotinto

(Home)
07 Oct
Vinotinto
1 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
02 Oct
San Antonio
0 : 0
Vinotinto
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
Page 1 of 6

San Antonio

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico FC
2 : 1
San Antonio
02 Oct
San Antonio
0 : 0
Vinotinto
26 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 0
San Antonio
16 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
10 Sept
San Antonio
0 : 3
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico FC 29 13 13 3 36:19 52
2 Independiente Juniors 29 13 11 5 36:23 50
3 Vinotinto 29 13 9 7 37:22 48
4 Nueve de Octubre 29 11 12 6 31:21 45
5 CD Cuenca Juniors 29 10 9 10 23:32 39
6 San Antonio 29 7 12 10 27:34 33
Promotion - Liga Pro 2027 (First stage)