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Violette vs Defence Force

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Violette Logo

Violette

3 - 0
FT
Defence Force Logo

Defence Force

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Chery M.
Assist: Dejean E.
34'
Sub
Anis J. In: Pierre D. S.
Out: Anis J.
39'
Marcier M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Violette
15%
Draws
28%
Defence Force
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Violette

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Defence Force lately — more wins on the board than Violette.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Violette taking it.
  • Defence Force arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Violette, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Violette Clean Sheet 10%
Defence Force Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Violette Defence Force
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.57 2.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Violette vs Defence Force
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Violette Compare

Top Goalscorer Chery M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Louis-Jean C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Defence Force Compare

Avg xG / game 2.09
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Violette 56 / 100
Defence Force 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Violette Defence Force

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Violette Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Violette scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defence Force has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Violette went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Violette VS Defence Force
1.5 Goals Scored 3.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Violette

(Home)
05 Aug
Violette
3 : 0
Defence Force
28 May
Violette
2 : 0
America des Cayes
25 May
Violette
3 : 2
Don Bosco
22 May
Violette
0 : 1
Juventus
11 May
Violette
1 : 0
Racing Haitien
Page 1 of 6

Defence Force

(Away)
05 Aug
Violette
3 : 0
Defence Force
29 Mar
Defence Force
2 : 0
AC Port Of Spain
20 Mar
Defence Force
6 : 0
Eagles FC
19 Mar
Sando
2 : 1
Defence Force
15 Mar
Police
1 : 0
Defence Force
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Violette 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Sando 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Delfines Del Este 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Broki 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Defence Force 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salcedo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Cavalier 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Cibao 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Mount Pleasant 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Portmore 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Play Offs)