Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vipers vs BUL

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 St. Mary's Stadium, Kitende
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Ssebagala E.
55' Event
Kirya J.
62' Event
Watambala K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Vipers in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vipers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Vipers
20%
Draws
56%
BUL
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Vipers have won more games recently than BUL.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vipers Clean Sheet 68%
BUL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vipers BUL
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.72 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.44 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
BUL vs Vipers
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Vipers vs BUL
3:1
May 10, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Vipers
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Vipers vs BUL
1:1
May 1, 2024 Premier League
BUL vs Vipers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ssebagala E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usama A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

BUL Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirya J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vipers 42 / 100
BUL 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vipers BUL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vipers found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

BUL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Vipers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vipers VS BUL
1.38 Goals Scored 1.71
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Vipers

(Home)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
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BUL

(Away)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)