Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vipers vs Calvary

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 St. Mary's Stadium-Kitende, Entebbe
Vipers Logo

Vipers

1 - 0
FT
Calvary Logo

Calvary

Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Mulongo G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Vipers and Calvary finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vipers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Vipers
20%
Draws
38%
Calvary
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vipers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Vipers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vipers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Vipers Clean Sheet 20%
Calvary Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vipers Calvary
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 2 17
Goals Scored 1.69 0.47
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Vipers vs Calvary
1:0
Dec 9, 2025 Premier League
Calvary vs Vipers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Mulongo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Calvary Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vipers 42 / 100
Calvary 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vipers Calvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vipers found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Calvary conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Vipers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vipers VS Calvary
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vipers

(Home)
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Mahia
0 : 1
Vipers
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
23 May
Vipers
2 : 0
Express FC
Page 1 of 6

Calvary

(Away)
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
19 May
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Calvary
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
06 May
Calvary
1 : 0
Police
29 Apr
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 0
Calvary
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)