Sport Picks

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Vipers vs Uganda Revenue

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 St. Mary's Stadium, Kitende
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Otti R.
50' Event
Usama A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Vipers
30%
Draws
41%
Uganda Revenue
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uganda Revenue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vipers lately — more wins on the board than Uganda Revenue.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Vipers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vipers have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Vipers Clean Sheet 68%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vipers Uganda Revenue
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Premier League
Vipers vs Uganda Revenue
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Vipers
0:3
Feb 11, 2025 Premier League
Vipers vs Uganda Revenue
2:0
Nov 22, 2024 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Vipers
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Vipers
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Usama A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Uganda Revenue Compare

Top Goalscorer Otti R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vipers 50 / 100
Uganda Revenue 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vipers Uganda Revenue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vipers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vipers scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Uganda Revenue's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vipers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vipers VS Uganda Revenue
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vipers

(Home)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
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Uganda Revenue

(Away)
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)