Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virovitica vs NK Polet

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Virovitica play NK Polet in the 3. HNL North. NK Polet are favorites here. Recently, Virovitica averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. NK Polet averaged 2.53 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Virovitica won 0, NK Polet won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 13, 2021 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Virovitica and 2.50 for NK Polet. This points to a NK Polet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Virovitica
21%
Draws
60%
NK Polet
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: NK Polet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Virovitica picked up more points recently compared to NK Polet.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Virovitica Clean Sheet 10%
NK Polet Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virovitica NK Polet
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 22
Draws 4 1
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.1 2.53
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 3. HNL North
Virovitica vs NK Polet
1:3
Aug 28, 2021 3. HNL North
NK Polet vs Virovitica
6:0
Apr 10, 2021 3. HNL North
Virovitica vs NK Polet
1:1
Oct 3, 2020 3. HNL North
NK Polet vs Virovitica
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virovitica 19 / 100
NK Polet 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virovitica NK Polet

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Polet Win (2)
Secondary Pick NK Polet & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Virovitica attacking → ← attacking NK Polet

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virovitica scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

NK Polet let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Virovitica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

NK Polet lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 67
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1NK Polet22170561:1751
2Mladost Zdralovi22155245:1550
3Bjelovar22143553:2645
4Radnik Krizevci22142657:2544
5Medjimurje22123740:3339
6Podravina Ludbreg2287735:4131
7Papuk Orahovica22741132:4325
8Varteks Varazdin (2011)22641220:3922
9NK Koprivnica22381124:4317
10Virovitica22521525:5217
11Podravac Virje22441423:5016
12Rudar Mursko Sredisce22441425:5616