Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL North

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Virovitica host Papuk Orahovica in the 3. HNL North. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Virovitica have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Papuk Orahovica's 0.5 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Virovitica have won 2 to Papuk Orahovica's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2022, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.19) point toward Papuk Orahovica. Papuk Orahovica in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Virovitica

Draws

Papuk Orahovica

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Virovitica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Papuk Orahovica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Virovitica.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Virovitica.
League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. HNL North provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Virovitica Clean Sheet 20%

Papuk Orahovica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Virovitica	Papuk Orahovica
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	9
Draws	4	5
Losses	20	16
Goals Scored	1.75	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.88	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Virovitica

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL North

Virovitica vs Papuk Orahovica

Possession: 55% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

5:0

Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Virovitica

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Virovitica

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sep 12, 2020 3. HNL North

Virovitica vs Papuk Orahovica

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virovitica 85 / 100

Papuk Orahovica 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Virovitica Papuk Orahovica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virovitica scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Papuk Orahovica let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Virovitica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Papuk Orahovica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virovitica VS Papuk Orahovica

1.75 Goals Scored 0.5

1.88 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	NK Polet	22	17	0	5	61:17	51
2	Mladost Zdralovi	22	15	5	2	45:15	50
3	Bjelovar	22	14	3	5	53:26	45
4	Radnik Krizevci	22	14	2	6	57:25	44
5	Medjimurje	22	12	3	7	40:33	39
6	Podravina Ludbreg	22	8	7	7	35:41	31
7	Papuk Orahovica	22	7	4	11	32:43	25
8	Varteks Varazdin (2011)	22	6	4	12	20:39	22
9	NK Koprivnica	22	3	8	11	24:43	17
10	Virovitica	22	5	2	15	25:52	17
11	Podravac Virje	22	4	4	14	23:50	16
12	Rudar Mursko Sredisce	22	4	4	14	25:56	16