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Virton vs Habay La Neuve Prediction & H2H Stats

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National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 Stade Yvan Georges, Virton
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
de Almeida M.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Mballa Amougou E.
62'
Devresse F.

AI Match Summary

Virton in this National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Virton
30%
Draws
31%
Habay La Neuve
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Virton lately — more wins on the board than Habay La Neuve.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Virton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Virton Clean Sheet 20%
Habay La Neuve Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virton Habay La Neuve
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Habay La Neuve
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Habay La Neuve vs Virton
3:1
Jan 31, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Habay La Neuve
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Habay La Neuve vs Virton
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virton Compare

Top Goalscorer Mballa Amougou E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guillaume V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Habay La Neuve Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virton 85 / 100
Habay La Neuve 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virton Habay La Neuve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virton scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Habay La Neuve's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Virton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Virton VS Habay La Neuve
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Virton

(Home)
26 Sept
Oostkamp
0 : 3
Virton
20 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 1
Virton
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Virton
Page 1 of 7

Habay La Neuve

(Away)
30 Sept
Charleroi B
0 : 0
Habay La Neuve
26 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 2
Habay La Neuve
20 Sept
Habay La Neuve
2 : 1
Flenu
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
05 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
2 : 0
Habay La Neuve
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tubize-Braine 22 14 5 3 49:20 47
2 Virton 22 14 5 3 61:35 47
3 Renaissance Mons 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Meux 22 10 6 6 38:28 36
5 Habay La Neuve 22 10 6 6 38:35 36
6 Union Rochefortoise 22 9 4 9 33:40 31
7 Charleroi B 22 9 3 10 36:38 30
8 Stockay-Warfusee 22 7 5 10 22:35 26
9 St. Gilloise 2 22 7 3 12 36:45 24
10 Namur 22 4 4 14 30:50 16
11 Crossing Schaerbeek 22 4 4 14 24:44 16
12 St. Liege U23 22 3 6 13 25:47 15
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)