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Virtus Bolzano vs Calcio San Dona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Zandonatti F.
61' Event
Cremonini D.
85' Event
De Stefani M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Virtus Bolzano and Calcio San Dona finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Bolzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Virtus Bolzano
20%
Draws
46%
Calcio San Dona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calcio San Dona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Calcio San Dona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Calcio San Dona taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Virtus Bolzano here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Virtus Bolzano Clean Sheet 10%
Calcio San Dona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Bolzano Calcio San Dona
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.81 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs Calcio San Dona
2:1
Feb 10, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs Calcio San Dona
2:1
Oct 21, 2018 Serie D - Group C
Calcio San Dona vs Virtus Bolzano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Bolzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Zandonatti F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cremonini D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Calcio San Dona Compare

Top Goalscorer De Stefani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Bolzano 10 / 100
Calcio San Dona 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Bolzano Calcio San Dona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calcio San Dona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calcio San Dona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Virtus Bolzano scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Virtus Bolzano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virtus Bolzano VS Calcio San Dona
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Bolzano

(Home)
04 Oct
Virtus Bolzano
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
27 Sept
Altavilla
7 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
20 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Calcio San Dona
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 7

Calcio San Dona

(Away)
04 Oct
Clodiense
0 : 1
Calcio San Dona
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Calcio San Dona
16 Sept
Calcio San Dona
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
12 Sept
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Calcio San Dona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)