Sport Picks
Virtus Castelfranco vs Mezzolara
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 game between Virtus Castelfranco and Mezzolara finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Virtus Castelfranco come out ahead of Mezzolara on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Virtus Castelfranco's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 20%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Castelfranco | Mezzolara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 15, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Mezzolara
0:0
Sep 11, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:0
Mar 13, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Mezzolara
2:2
Nov 1, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:2
May 3, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Mezzolara
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Castelfranco 49 / 100
Mezzolara 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Castelfranco Mezzolara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Castelfranco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Castelfranco found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Mezzolara has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Virtus Castelfranco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mezzolara
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Castelfranco
(Home) 07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
26 Mar
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 2 Castelvetro
05 Mar
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 3
Mezzolara
(Away) 04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Mezzolara
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Mezzolara
28 Apr
Forli FC
2 : 0 Mezzolara
07 Apr
Sangiuliano City
2 : 1 Mezzolara
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravenna | 34 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 52:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Imolese | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 57:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 58 |
| 5 | Correggese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:48 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelvetro | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 60:57 | 50 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:55 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Mezzolara | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Rignanese | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:35 | 44 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | Colligiana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 14 | Adriese | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 46:51 | 39 |
| 15 | Ribelle | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 45:46 | 38 |
| 16 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:51 | 37 |
| 17 | Virtus Castelfranco | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25:41 | 33 |
| 18 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 24:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
