Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus Castelfranco vs Sangiovannese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sangiovannese in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sangiovannese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Virtus Castelfranco
30%
Draws
12%
Sangiovannese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Virtus Castelfranco haven't matched Sangiovannese's recent run of results.
  • Virtus Castelfranco are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 68%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Castelfranco Sangiovannese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Sangiovannese
1:3
Nov 27, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Sangiovannese vs Virtus Castelfranco
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Castelfranco 77 / 100
Sangiovannese 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Castelfranco Sangiovannese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Castelfranco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Castelfranco's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sangiovannese let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Virtus Castelfranco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sangiovannese
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Castelfranco

(Home)
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3
Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1
Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3
Sangiovannese
Page 1 of 6

Sangiovannese

(Away)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)