Sport Picks
Virtus Francavilla vs Fidelis Andria Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana 
Match Events
11'
11'
Allushaj E.
80'
80'
Ciraci M.
AI Match Summary
Fidelis Andria in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fidelis Andria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
15%
5%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Virtus Francavilla lately — more wins on the board than Fidelis Andria.
- Model gives Virtus Francavilla a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Fidelis Andria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Fidelis Andria
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Fidelis Andria
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla
0:1
Feb 1, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Fidelis Andria Compare
Top Goalscorer Allushaj E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ciraci M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Francavilla 95 / 100
Fidelis Andria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Francavilla Fidelis Andria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Virtus Francavilla remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Virtus Francavilla scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Fidelis Andria registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Virtus Francavilla VS Fidelis Andria
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Francavilla
(Home) 27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
Page 1 of 3
Fidelis Andria
(Away) 27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0 Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2 Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0 Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3 Gravina
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0 Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2 Fidelis Andria
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0 Fidelis Andria
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
12 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 2 Fidelis Andria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
