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Stadium Background

Virtus Francavilla vs Real Forio 2014 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Ahmetaj M.
50' Event

AI Match Summary

Virtus Francavilla in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus Francavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Virtus Francavilla
15%
Draws
21%
Real Forio 2014
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Virtus Francavilla lately — more wins on the board than Real Forio 2014.
  • Virtus Francavilla are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Real Forio 2014 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Francavilla Real Forio 2014
Matches Played 31 7
Wins 15 2
Draws 9 1
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.42 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Real Forio 2014
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmetaj M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Real Forio 2014 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Francavilla 68 / 100
Real Forio 2014 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Francavilla Real Forio 2014

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Forio 2014 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Attacking prowess: Virtus Francavilla scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Virtus Francavilla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Virtus Francavilla VS Real Forio 2014
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Francavilla

(Home)
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0
Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
Page 1 of 7

Real Forio 2014

(Away)
04 Oct
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Real Forio 2014
27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2
Manfredonia
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Real Forio 2014
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0
Real Forio 2014
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)