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Virtus Francavilla vs San Felice Gladiator - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Biagiotti M.
26' Event
Mungo D.
55' Event
Santoro G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Virtus Francavilla and San Felice Gladiator finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Francavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Virtus Francavilla
15%
Draws
21%
San Felice Gladiator
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Virtus Francavilla come out ahead of San Felice Gladiator on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Virtus Francavilla's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 16%
San Felice Gladiator Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Francavilla San Felice Gladiator
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs San Felice Gladiator
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Biagiotti M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mungo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

San Felice Gladiator Compare

Top Goalscorer Santoro G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Francavilla 57 / 100
San Felice Gladiator 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Francavilla San Felice Gladiator

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Francavilla found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

San Felice Gladiator let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Virtus Francavilla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Virtus Francavilla VS San Felice Gladiator
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Francavilla

(Home)
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0
Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
Page 1 of 6

San Felice Gladiator

(Away)
04 Oct
San Felice Gladiator
1 : 1
Turris
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Real Forio 2014
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)