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Virtus Matino vs Gravina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Monopoli P.
21' Event
Krstevski S.
31' Event
Stauciuc B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 game between Virtus Matino and Gravina finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Matino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Virtus Matino
20%
Draws
46%
Gravina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Virtus Matino haven't matched Gravina's recent run of results.
  • Gravina are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Virtus Matino Clean Sheet 22%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Matino Gravina
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 21
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Matino vs Gravina
3:2
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Virtus Matino
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Matino Compare

Top Goalscorer Monopoli P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stauciuc B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Gravina Compare

Top Goalscorer Krstevski S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tommasone V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Matino 21 / 100
Gravina 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Matino Gravina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Gravina has conceded goals in 65% of their last 40 outings.

Virtus Matino found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Virtus Matino has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gravina
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Matino

(Home)
22 May
Virtus Matino
3 : 4
Brindisi
15 May
Rotonda
2 : 0
Virtus Matino
08 May
Virtus Matino
1 : 5
Bitonto
01 May
Francavilla
2 : 3
Virtus Matino
24 Apr
Virtus Matino
2 : 1
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

Gravina

(Away)
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)