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Virtus Matino vs Lavello Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Onraita F.
72' Event
Tapia M.
75' Event
Palmisano G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lavello in this Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lavello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Virtus Matino
15%
Draws
28%
Lavello
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Matino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Virtus Matino haven't matched Lavello's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Virtus Matino Clean Sheet 68%
Lavello Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Matino Lavello
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.97 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Matino vs Lavello
1:2
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Virtus Matino
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Matino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Lavello Compare

Top Goalscorer Onraita F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tapia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Matino 41 / 100
Lavello 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Matino Lavello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Matino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavello's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Lavello has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Virtus Matino's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lavello
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Matino

(Home)
22 May
Virtus Matino
3 : 4
Brindisi
15 May
Rotonda
2 : 0
Virtus Matino
08 May
Virtus Matino
1 : 5
Bitonto
01 May
Francavilla
2 : 3
Virtus Matino
24 Apr
Virtus Matino
2 : 1
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

Lavello

(Away)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)