Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus vs AC Libertas

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Badalassi I.
Assist: Piscitella G.
85' Event
De Lucia U.

AI Match Summary

Virtus in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Virtus
30%
Draws
23%
AC Libertas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Libertas haven't matched Virtus's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Virtus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Virtus here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Virtus Clean Sheet 20%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus AC Libertas
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 25 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.16 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.76 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs AC Libertas
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Virtus
0:9
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs AC Libertas
3:1
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
AC Libertas vs Virtus
1:3
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
Virtus vs AC Libertas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Badalassi I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Lucia U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

AC Libertas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus 76 / 100
AC Libertas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus AC Libertas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Virtus scored in 84% of their last 37 outings.

AC Libertas has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Virtus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virtus VS AC Libertas
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus

(Home)
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0
Dila Gori
09 Jul
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Virtus
Page 1 of 8

AC Libertas

(Away)
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
29 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 1
AC Libertas
26 Apr
AC Libertas
0 : 9
Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Folgore 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Tre Penne 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
4 SP Domagnano 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
5 AC Libertas 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Fiorentino 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
7 Virtus 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Juvenes/Dogana 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
9 La Fiorita 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
10 SS Murata 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
11 SP Cosmos 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
12 San Marino Academy U22 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
13 Cailungo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 San Giovanni 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
15 SS Pennarossa 2 0 0 2 3:9 0
16 SC Faetano 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)